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AI Stocks, Fed and PCE: Market Briefing (May 4-8, 2026)

Geg 18, 2026

Fed, PCE and Big Tech: Market Briefing (May 4–8, 2026)

Introduction

The first full week of May delivered a highly emotional environment for global markets. Investors reacted to a mix of Federal Reserve commentary, persistent inflation concerns, energy market volatility, and continued momentum in artificial intelligence stocks. Despite uncertainty, Big Tech remained the dominant force driving market sentiment.

Federal Reserve: Cautious Stability

Throughout the week, Federal Reserve officials maintained a cautious tone regarding future rate cuts. Markets initially hoped for a more dovish stance, but policymakers emphasized that inflation risks remain present. This created volatility across Nasdaq, growth stocks, semiconductor companies, and AI-related equities.

FED PCE and Inflation Expectations

Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data

Markets closely monitored inflation expectations following recent PCE data. While inflation showed signs of moderation, energy prices and geopolitical uncertainty continued pressuring sentiment. Core inflation remained one of the key factors influencing Federal Reserve decisions, technology valuations, and investor positioning.

AI and Semiconductor Momentum

Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom continued attracting strong investor attention as enthusiasm around artificial intelligence infrastructure remained elevated. AI spending by major technology companies reinforced the idea that artificial intelligence is becoming the next long-term industrial revolution.

Oil, Geopolitics and Market Psychology

Oil markets reacted nervously to Middle East developments and concerns surrounding global supply routes. Rising energy prices introduced additional inflation fears into equity markets, creating rapid market swings, profit taking and increased short-term uncertainty.

Orion Insight

Read more insights on Orion Capital.

Markets continue balancing between artificial intelligence optimism and macroeconomic uncertainty. Volatility remains elevated, but long-term technological transformation continues shaping investor psychology.

Ieva Bružaitė
Founder, Orion Capital

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